China Phosphorus Chemicals Market: Tight Supply-Demand Balance Keeps Phosphoric Acid Price High

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Publish time: 15th November, 2024      Source: CCM
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  Summary:

  The China phosphorus industry, particularly the Phosphorus Industry in China, maintains a tight supply-demand balance, with the Phosphoric acid price in China remaining elevated. According to CCM market intelligence, this trend is underpinned by the sustained growth in phosphorus chemicals consumption, notably in the Phosphate production sector. CCM reports indicate that despite incremental production capacities, the China Phosphorus Industry faces challenges in reversing the tight supply-demand dynamics.

  

  Demand Side: Continual Growth in Phosphorus Ore Consumption

  In recent years, China has witnessed a consistent increase in phosphorus ore consumption. Notably, during the first three quarters of 2024, the apparent consumption of phosphorus ore grew by 9.54% year-on-year, with the monthly consumption in September reaching a five-year high. This growth is primarily attributed to the steady rise in phosphate fertilizer production and sales, coupled with the rapid surge in demand from the new energy sector. CCM market insights reveal that these factors have significantly contributed to the positive trajectory of the China phosphorus chemical industry.

   

  Supply Side: Limited Capacity Addition to Alleviate Tight Supply-Demand Dynamics

   While China's phosphorus ore production has been increasing annually, the lead time for new capacities is substantial, and the overall supply increase is limited. Furthermore, imports of phosphorus ore are minimal, failing to provide an effective supplement. Consequently, domestic phosphorus ore supply growth remains constrained in the short to medium term, making it challenging to reverse the tight supply-demand situation, as highlighted in CCM research.

   

  Downstream Demand for Phosphorus Ore: Rapid Growth in New Energy Sector

   In the phosphate fertilizer sector, the recovery in compound fertilizer demand has driven steady growth in monoammonium phosphate and diammonium phosphate production. Meanwhile, in the new energy sector, the substantial year-on-year increase in new energy vehicle production and sales has led to a continuous rise in demand for wet-process phosphoric acid and lithium iron phosphate, making it one of the fastest-growing downstream areas for phosphorus ore, according to CCM reports.

   

  Cost and Profit Margin: Sustained High Profitability

   Despite relatively stable mining costs for phosphorus ore, the high price maintenance has kept the profit margins at elevated levels. This has created substantial profit opportunities for China's phosphorus ore enterprises, as analyzed by CCM data.

   

  In conclusion, the China phosphorus ore industry faces a tight supply-demand balance, with prices remaining high. Looking ahead, with the sustained development of the new energy sector, the China phosphorus chemicals market is poised for broader growth prospects. CCM market intelligence continues to monitor these trends, providing valuable insights and analysis to stakeholders in the industry.

  

  

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